Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Louisiana Tech | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 31 | 23.88 | 59 | 24.00 | 4.97 | 63 |
Brigham Young | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -31 | -23.88 | 59 | -24.00 | 8.02 | 64 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Louisiana Tech | 60.92 | Should have lost by | 23.88 | 313 | 18.52 | 2 | 0.00 | 19.00 | PLAY |
Brigham Young | 60.92 | Should have won by | 23.88 | 513 | 42.40 | 0 | 0.00 | 26.00 | FADE |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Louisiana Tech | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | 5-for-13 | 7-58 |
Brigham Young | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 6-for-10 | 5-50 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Campbell | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 52 | 29.53 | 80 | 34.50 | 4.89 | 74 |
Wake Forest | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -52 | -29.53 | 80 | -34.50 | 8.70 | 66 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Campbell | 72.11 | Should have lost by | 29.53 | 362 | 21.29 | 4 | 1.13 | 22.00 | PLAY |
Wake Forest | 72.11 | Should have won by | 29.53 | 574 | 50.82 | 0 | 0.00 | 29.00 | FADE |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Campbell | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | —— | 9-for-16 | 5-42 |
Wake Forest | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | YES | 5-for-7 | 5-40 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
South Florida | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 21 | 11.48 | 35 | 22.50 | 3.93 | 74 |
Cincinnati | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -21 | -11.48 | 35 | -22.50 | 4.68 | 71 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
South Florida | 44.48 | Should have lost by | 11.48 | 291 | 16.50 | 5 | 3.13 | 19.00 | GOOD |
Cincinnati | 44.48 | Should have won by | 11.48 | 332 | 27.98 | 4 | 4.00 | 22.00 | BAD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
South Florida | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | 5-for-13 | 3-40 |
Cincinnati | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | YES | 10-for-17 | 7-52 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
South Carolina | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 14 | 10.71 | 62 | 15.00 | 3.96 | 83 |
Florida | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -14 | -10.71 | 62 | -15.00 | 6.57 | 53 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
South Carolina | 47.33 | Should have lost by | 10.71 | 329 | 18.31 | 1 | -0.25 | 25.00 | GOOD |
Florida | 47.33 | Should have won by | 10.71 | 348 | 29.02 | 2 | 2.00 | 18.00 | BAD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
South Carolina | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | 6-for-17 | 6-55 |
Florida | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | 4-for-9 | 4-44 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
East Carolina | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 20 | 12.93 | 78 | -1.50 | 3.67 | 78 |
Georgia St. | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -20 | -12.93 | 78 | 1.50 | 6.74 | 72 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
East Carolina | 53.04 | Should have lost by | 12.93 | 286 | 20.06 | 3 | 3.00 | 19.00 | BAD |
Georgia St. | 53.04 | Should have won by | 12.93 | 485 | 32.98 | 3 | 2.88 | 21.00 | GOOD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
East Carolina | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | —— | 5-for-17 | 11-97 |
Georgia St. | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | YES | 7-for-15 | 9-92 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
North Carolina | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -4 | -13.01 | 48 | -14.50 | 6.17 | 65 |
Boston College | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 4 | 13.01 | 48 | 14.50 | 4.71 | 75 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
North Carolina | 52.86 | Should have won by | 13.01 | 401 | 32.94 | 1 | 1.00 | 24.00 | BAD |
Boston College | 52.86 | Should have lost by | 13.01 | 353 | 19.92 | 0 | -1.21 | 22.00 | GOOD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
North Carolina | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | YES | 7-for-12 | 10-96 |
Boston College | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | 9-for-17 | 12-110 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Virginia Tech | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -7 | -15.89 | 69 | -11.00 | 6.49 | 75 |
Duke | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 7 | 15.89 | 69 | 11.00 | 5.39 | 76 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Virginia Tech | 62.63 | Should have won by | 15.89 | 487 | 39.26 | 3 | 3.00 | 25.00 | PLAY |
Duke | 62.63 | Should have lost by | 15.89 | 410 | 23.37 | 1 | 0.08 | 19.00 | FADE |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Virginia Tech | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | YES | 7-for-15 | 3-20 |
Duke | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | 5-for-17 | 8-76 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Missouri | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 23 | 8.73 | 47 | 10.00 | 5.55 | 62 |
Tennessee | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -23 | -8.73 | 47 | -10.00 | 5.70 | 74 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Missouri | 53.45 | Should have lost by | 8.73 | 344 | 22.36 | 1 | 0.17 | 15.00 | PLAY |
Tennessee | 53.45 | Should have won by | 8.73 | 422 | 31.09 | 0 | 0.00 | 26.00 | FADE |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Missouri | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | 6-for-15 | 6-49 |
Tennessee | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | 6-for-13 | 3-20 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Baylor | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 6 | 9.69 | 48 | -1.00 | 3.61 | 71 |
West Virginia | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -6 | -9.69 | 48 | 1.00 | 4.26 | 81 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Baylor | 41.41 | Should have lost by | 9.69 | 256 | 15.86 | 2 | 2.00 | 15.00 | BAD |
West Virginia | 41.41 | Should have won by | 9.69 | 345 | 25.55 | 4 | 3.92 | 18.00 | GOOD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Baylor | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 4-for-16 | 12-86 |
West Virginia | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 5-for-18 | 12-102 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Virginia | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 18 | 16.39 | 64 | 28.00 | 5.15 | 81 |
Clemson | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -18 | -16.39 | 64 | -28.00 | 6.66 | 70 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Virginia | 63.93 | Should have lost by | 16.39 | 417 | 23.77 | 2 | -0.33 | 25.00 | GOOD |
Clemson | 63.93 | Should have won by | 16.39 | 466 | 40.16 | 0 | 0.00 | 22.00 | BAD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Virginia | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | 6-for-16 | 1-15 |
Clemson | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | 8-for-15 | 8-65 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
NC State | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -1 | 15.70 | 59 | 14.00 | 5.31 | 75 |
Pittsburgh | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 1 | -15.70 | 59 | -14.00 | 6.53 | 77 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
NC State | 63.43 | Should have lost by | 15.70 | 398 | 23.86 | 0 | -1.17 | 28.00 | FADE |
Pittsburgh | 63.43 | Should have won by | 15.70 | 503 | 39.56 | 0 | 0.00 | 24.00 | PLAY |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
NC State | YES | —— | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | 7-for-16 | 11-80 |
Pittsburgh | —— | YES | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | 6-for-16 | 13-125 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Oklahoma | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 7 | -4.01 | 67 | -7.50 | 6.00 | 69 |
Iowa State | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -7 | 4.01 | 67 | 7.50 | 7.45 | 56 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Oklahoma | 57.45 | Should have won by | 4.01 | 414 | 30.73 | 1 | 1.00 | 22.00 | BAD |
Iowa State | 57.45 | Should have lost by | 4.01 | 417 | 26.72 | 1 | 0.38 | 23.00 | GOOD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Oklahoma | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | YES | 4-for-13 | 9-93 |
Iowa State | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | —— | 6-for-10 | 9-90 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Memphis | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 3 | 0.31 | 57 | 1.50 | 6.26 | 80 |
Southern Methodist | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -3 | -0.31 | 57 | -1.50 | 7.63 | 72 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Memphis | 72.46 | Should have lost by | 0.31 | 501 | 36.07 | 4 | 3.88 | 26.00 | PLAY |
Southern Methodist | 72.46 | Should have won by | 0.31 | 549 | 36.38 | 2 | 2.00 | 21.00 | FADE |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Memphis | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 10-for-17 | 5-40 |
Southern Methodist | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 9-for-17 | 7-60 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Tulsa | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | -8 | 13.50 | 60 | 20.50 | 6.00 | 73 |
Central Florida | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | 8 | -13.50 | 60 | -20.50 | 5.35 | 85 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Tulsa | 63.01 | Should have lost by | 13.50 | 438 | 24.76 | 3 | 1.29 | 21.00 | GOOD |
Central Florida | 63.01 | Should have won by | 13.50 | 455 | 38.25 | 3 | 3.00 | 23.00 | BAD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Tulsa | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | YES | 6-for-15 | 8-95 |
Central Florida | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | —— | 7-for-18 | 18-124 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Arkansas St. | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 29 | 10.50 | 75 | -3.50 | 6.11 | 63 |
Coastal Carolina | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -29 | -10.50 | 75 | 3.50 | 6.74 | 80 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Arkansas St. | 63.50 | Should have lost by | 10.50 | 385 | 26.50 | 2 | 2.00 | 15.00 | BAD |
Coastal Carolina | 63.50 | Should have won by | 10.50 | 539 | 37.00 | 3 | 2.71 | 25.00 | GOOD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Arkansas St. | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 5-for-15 | 4-31 |
Coastal Carolina | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 10-for-17 | 3-31 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Navy | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 33 | 4.58 | 47 | -6.50 | 4.46 | 54 |
Air Force | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -33 | -4.58 | 47 | 6.50 | 6.61 | 62 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Navy | 44.46 | Should have lost by | 4.58 | 241 | 19.94 | 2 | 2.00 | 10.00 | BAD |
Air Force | 44.46 | Should have won by | 4.58 | 410 | 24.52 | 0 | -0.54 | 25.00 | GOOD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Navy | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | 5-for-13 | 4-30 |
Air Force | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | 2-for-9 | 3-23 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Texas Tech | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 10 | -6.33 | 52 | 0.50 | 5.67 | 83 |
Kansas State | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -10 | 6.33 | 52 | -0.50 | 6.31 | 64 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Texas Tech | 60.33 | Should have won by | 6.33 | 471 | 33.33 | 1 | 0.96 | 27.00 | PLAY |
Kansas State | 60.33 | Should have lost by | 6.33 | 404 | 27.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 20.00 | FADE |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Texas Tech | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | —— | 9-for-18 | 6-71 |
Kansas State | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | YES | 6-for-12 | 4-35 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Oklahoma State | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | -40 | -38.01 | 54 | -21.50 | 6.59 | 90 |
Kansas | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | 40 | 38.01 | 54 | 21.50 | 3.02 | 64 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Oklahoma State | 59.61 | Should have won by | 38.01 | 593 | 48.81 | 0 | 0.00 | 31.00 | GOOD |
Kansas | 59.61 | Should have lost by | 38.01 | 193 | 10.80 | 1 | -0.79 | 12.00 | BAD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Oklahoma State | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 9-for-18 | 5-35 |
Kansas | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 1-for-14 | 3-17 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Texas-San Antonio | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | 8 | 25.88 | 34 | 21.50 | 4.59 | 61 |
UAB | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | -8 | -25.88 | 34 | -21.50 | 6.10 | 67 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Texas-San Antonio | 49.93 | Should have lost by | 25.88 | 280 | 12.03 | 1 | -0.79 | 17.00 | FADE |
UAB | 49.93 | Should have won by | 25.88 | 409 | 37.91 | 4 | 4.00 | 21.00 | PLAY |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Texas-San Antonio | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 2-for-13 | 10-98 |
UAB | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 4-for-11 | 6-72 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Texas Christian | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -2 | 3.21 | 64 | 10.50 | 5.71 | 80 |
Texas | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 2 | -3.21 | 64 | -10.50 | 6.47 | 60 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Texas Christian | 58.24 | Should have lost by | 3.21 | 457 | 27.51 | 1 | 0.13 | 25.00 | GOOD |
Texas | 58.24 | Should have won by | 3.21 | 388 | 30.72 | 2 | 2.00 | 16.00 | BAD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Texas Christian | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | 7-for-17 | 14-109 |
Texas | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | 7-for-14 | 12-92 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Texas A&M | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 28 | 16.23 | 76 | 18.00 | 5.84 | 77 |
Alabama | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -28 | -16.23 | 76 | -18.00 | 9.89 | 55 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Texas A&M | 70.44 | Should have lost by | 16.23 | 450 | 27.11 | 2 | 0.50 | 25.00 | PLAY |
Alabama | 70.44 | Should have won by | 16.23 | 544 | 43.33 | 1 | 1.00 | 22.00 | FADE |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Texas A&M | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | 10-for-17 | 7-58 |
Alabama | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | 5-for-10 | 6-40 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Mississippi | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -1 | 13.48 | 83 | 7.00 | 6.85 | 67 |
Kentucky | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 1 | -13.48 | 83 | -7.00 | 7.55 | 74 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Mississippi | 70.70 | Should have lost by | 13.48 | 459 | 28.61 | 0 | -0.58 | 26.00 | FADE |
Kentucky | 70.70 | Should have won by | 13.48 | 559 | 42.09 | 1 | 1.00 | 26.00 | PLAY |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Mississippi | YES | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 6-for-12 | 5-33 |
Kentucky | —— | YES | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | 6-for-11 | 8-81 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Western Kentucky | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -3 | -6.38 | 37 | -7.00 | 4.70 | 71 |
Middle Tennessee | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 3 | 6.38 | 37 | 7.00 | 4.83 | 66 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Western Kentucky | 45.19 | Should have won by | 6.38 | 334 | 25.79 | 1 | 1.00 | 21.00 | BAD |
Middle Tennessee | 45.19 | Should have lost by | 6.38 | 319 | 19.40 | 0 | -0.58 | 18.00 | GOOD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Western Kentucky | YES | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 7-for-17 | 5-55 |
Middle Tennessee | —— | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 7-for-16 | 6-47 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Charlotte | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 4 | -5.07 | 38 | 5.00 | 5.42 | 73 |
Florida Atlantic | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -4 | 5.07 | 38 | -5.00 | 5.73 | 55 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Charlotte | 48.90 | Should have won by | 5.07 | 396 | 26.98 | 1 | 0.58 | 22.00 | GOOD |
Florida Atlantic | 48.90 | Should have lost by | 5.07 | 315 | 21.92 | 0 | 0.00 | 15.00 | BAD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Charlotte | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 6-for-16 | 3-27 |
Florida Atlantic | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 6-for-13 | 3-19 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Georgia Southern | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -5 | -6.48 | 65 | -19.00 | 6.15 | 60 |
UL Monroe | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 5 | 6.48 | 65 | 19.00 | 5.84 | 73 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Georgia Southern | 55.26 | Should have won by | 6.48 | 369 | 30.87 | 0 | 0.00 | 19.00 | BAD |
UL Monroe | 55.26 | Should have lost by | 6.48 | 426 | 24.39 | 0 | -1.58 | 24.00 | GOOD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Georgia Southern | YES | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | YES | 9-for-13 | 7-57 |
UL Monroe | —— | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | —— | 5-for-15 | 5-45 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Auburn | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | 21 | 16.99 | 33 | 7.00 | 3.48 | 62 |
Georgia | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | -21 | -16.99 | 33 | -7.00 | 6.05 | 73 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Auburn | 46.24 | Should have lost by | 16.99 | 216 | 14.63 | 1 | 0.42 | 15.00 | BAD |
Georgia | 46.24 | Should have won by | 16.99 | 442 | 31.61 | 0 | 0.00 | 25.00 | GOOD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Auburn | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | 6-for-15 | 7-46 |
Georgia | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | 9-for-14 | 8-59 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Louisiana State | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | -34 | -25.64 | 48 | -21.00 | 7.22 | 69 |
Vanderbilt | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | 34 | 25.64 | 48 | 21.00 | 3.91 | 68 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Louisiana State | 56.19 | Should have won by | 25.64 | 498 | 40.91 | 1 | 1.00 | 28.00 | GOOD |
Vanderbilt | 56.19 | Should have lost by | 25.64 | 266 | 15.27 | 2 | 0.25 | 17.00 | BAD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Louisiana State | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | 4-for-12 | 4-30 |
Vanderbilt | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | 7-for-17 | 5-24 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Arkansas | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -7 | 21.11 | 35 | 17.00 | 4.23 | 65 |
Mississippi State | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 7 | -21.11 | 35 | -17.00 | 4.76 | 84 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Arkansas | 48.23 | Should have lost by | 21.11 | 275 | 13.56 | 2 | 0.58 | 17.00 | FADE |
Mississippi State | 48.23 | Should have won by | 21.11 | 400 | 34.67 | 4 | 4.00 | 24.00 | PLAY |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Arkansas | YES | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | 5-for-14 | 5-40 |
Mississippi State | —— | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | 6-for-17 | 4-25 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Southern Miss | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -10 | 8.08 | 72 | 1.50 | 5.75 | 76 |
North Texas | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 10 | -8.08 | 72 | -1.50 | 5.68 | 85 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Southern Miss | 63.49 | Should have lost by | 8.08 | 437 | 27.70 | 1 | 0.88 | 22.00 | FADE |
North Texas | 63.49 | Should have won by | 8.08 | 483 | 35.78 | 3 | 3.00 | 27.00 | PLAY |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Southern Miss | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | YES | 8-for-17 | 2-10 |
North Texas | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | —— | 11-for-19 | 2-20 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
North Alabama | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 21 | 19.50 | 35 | 33.00 | 4.41 | 56 |
Liberty | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -21 | -19.50 | 35 | -33.00 | 5.49 | 65 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
North Alabama | 45.75 | Should have lost by | 19.50 | 247 | 13.13 | 3 | 0.25 | 14.00 | GOOD |
Liberty | 45.75 | Should have won by | 19.50 | 357 | 32.63 | 1 | 1.00 | 22.00 | BAD |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
North Alabama | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 6-for-14 | 6-55 |
Liberty | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 6-for-11 | 8-75 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Abilene Christian | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 32 | 26.37 | 78 | 31.00 | 6.26 | 62 |
Army | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -32 | -26.37 | 78 | -31.00 | 7.36 | 67 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Abilene Christian | 65.29 | Should have lost by | 26.37 | 388 | 19.46 | 0 | -2.58 | 19.00 | PLAY |
Army | 65.29 | Should have won by | 26.37 | 493 | 45.83 | 0 | 0.00 | 24.00 | FADE |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Abilene Christian | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 1-for-10 | 6-48 |
Army | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 3-for-11 | 4-27 |
Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
Jacksonville State | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 17 | 31.65 | 65 | 27.00 | 5.79 | 53 |
Florida State | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -17 | -31.65 | 65 | -27.00 | 6.48 | 82 |
Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
Jacksonville State | 62.85 | Should have lost by | 31.65 | 307 | 15.60 | 1 | -1.25 | 18.00 | FADE |
Florida State | 62.85 | Should have won by | 31.65 | 531 | 47.25 | 1 | 1.00 | 31.00 | PLAY |
Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
Jacksonville State | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 3-for-10 | 9-57 |
Florida State | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 10-for-16 | 10-100 |
10/2 -10/3 NCAA Football Box Score analysis
NCAA Box Score Analysis
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the:
1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory
So if a team meets or exceeds pre game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.
Key: 1. ATS– Against the spread.
2. Act. Yds vs Act. Spread –How each team did using their yardage stats and turnovers.
3. Game should’ve been.. — A scoring projection based on total yards gained using yards per point.
4. Win Margin—Final game margin.
5. Yds/TO spread conv.— A spread projection using total yards gained/allowed and turnovers.
6. Game tot—Acutal game total.
7. Yppt. Total—A total projection of how many points should’ve been scored based on yards.
8. W/L Projection—An estimation of the final score using actual yards and turnover margin. 9. Margin—A number each team “should’ve” won/loss by.
10. Actual Yds—Total yards gained in the game by the offense. 11. Score should’ve been..—A projection for a score based on the game stats and turnovers.
12. TO—Adjusted TO based on actual and pre-game projection.
13. Next Week—A computer generated suggestion for how a team may do next week. (Good, Bad, Play, Fade)
Good—Played as they were projected to do in the game.
Bad—Played below expectations for the game.
Fade—Played well below expectations for the game.
Play—Played better than final score and should be looked at next week.
(Good/Bad/Fade/Play are just suggestions to look at as a guide. Don’t just automatically use them as they are listed. They are to be used to help not as a magic formula)