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2018 Week 1 NCAA Football Misleading Final Scores

Football

I’ve put together a program taking a look at each NCAA Football box score to see if a team’s, actual stats, met their pre-game (line) expectation and the final score (margin).

So if a team meets or exceeds pre-game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.

I also adjust the totals based on actual yards compared to actual points. For example two teams may score 35 points but their offense’s total yardage for the game only amounted to an estimated 25 points based on their yardage stats. They may have benefited from turnovers, kick returns and short fields.

Below you’ll find every game from Thursday 8/30 through Sunday 9/2. (FBS vs FBS, FBS vs FCS, FCS vs FCS)

*Sunday and Monday games (4 total) will be updated on Tuesday when the site I get the box score information from, is updated.

People may have different opinions on why this happens. I just run the numbers through my program to get a “statistical opinion” on what should have happened based on yardage stats and taking away turnovers.

I’ve used something similar to this in the past to find teams that may be overlooked or overvalued based on the prior weeks games.

NCAA Box Score Analysis

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats.
The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the:

1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction)
2. Actual margin of victory

So if a team meets or exceeds pre game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.

Key:

1. ATS– Against the spread.
2. Act. Yds vs Act. Spread –How each team did using their yardage stats and turnovers.
3. Game should’ve been.. — A scoring projection based on total yards gained using yards per point.
4. Win Margin—Final game margin.
5. Yds/TO spread conv.— A spread projection using total yards gained/allowed and turnovers.
6. Game tot—Acutal game total.
7. Yppt. Total—A total projection of how many points should’ve been scored based on yards.
8. W/L Projection—An estimation of the final score using actual yards and turnover margin.
9. Margin—A number each team “should’ve” won/loss by.
10. Actual Yds—Total yards gained in the game by the offense.
11. Score should’ve been..—A projection for a score based on the game stats and turnovers.
12. TO—Actual game turnovers.
13. Adjusted TO
14. Next Week—A computer generated suggestion for how a team may do next week. (Good, Bad, Play, Fade)
Good—Played as they were projected to do in the game.
Bad—Played below expectations for the game.
Fade—Played well below expectations for the game even though they covered the spread.
Play—Played better than final score and should be looked at next week.
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Central Florida Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -39 -23.13 73 -24.00 9.31 70
Connecticut Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 39 23.13 73 24.00 5.59 87
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Central Florida 82.64 Should have won by 23.13 652 52.88 0 0.00 31.00 FADE
Connecticut 82.64 Should have lost by 23.13 486 29.76 3 1.00 27.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Central Florida YES YES —— YES YES YES —— 9-for-11 3-27
Connecticut —— —— YES —— —— —— YES 10-for-18 7-93
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Northwestern Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -4 11.48 58 1.00 5.08 79
Purdue Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 4 -11.48 58 -1.00 6.65 71
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Northwestern 60.24 Should have lost by 11.48 401 24.38 0 -0.08 25.00 FADE
Purdue 60.24 Should have won by 11.48 472 35.86 3 3.00 23.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Northwestern YES —— YES —— YES YES YES 6-for-17 6-56
Purdue —— YES —— YES —— —— —— 8-for-15 9-95
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
New Mexico State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 38 29.88 58 22.00 3.47 78
Minnesota Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -38 -29.88 58 -22.00 6.44 81
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
New Mexico State 58.67 Should have lost by 29.88 271 14.39 1 -0.83 19.00 BAD
Minnesota 58.67 Should have won by 29.88 522 44.27 1 1.00 23.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
New Mexico State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-17 5-50
Minnesota YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-14 9-92
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Wake Forest Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -6 -16.51 40 -7.50 5.83 94
Tulane Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 6 16.51 40 7.50 5.52 79
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Wake Forest 68.44 Should have won by 16.51 548 42.48 3 3.00 32.00 PLAY
Tulane 68.44 Should have lost by 16.51 436 25.97 1 0.38 20.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Wake Forest YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-19 6-70
Tulane —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 7-for-19 9-83
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Central Connecticut State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 36 37.51 48 19.50 4.41 66
Ball State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -36 -37.51 48 -19.50 7.76 84
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Central Connecticut State 69.64 Should have lost by 37.51 291 16.06 1 -0.63 16.00 BAD
Ball State 69.64 Should have won by 37.51 652 53.58 1 1.00 30.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Central Connecticut State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-15 9-58
Ball State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 11-for-16 6-70
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Kennesaw State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 4 -5.24 44 2.50 5.46 70
Georgia State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -4 5.24 44 -2.50 4.88 65
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Kennesaw State 48.14 Should have won by 5.24 382 26.69 2 1.79 19.00 PLAY
Georgia State 48.14 Should have lost by 5.24 317 21.45 1 1.00 21.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Kennesaw State —— YES YES YES —— —— YES 5-for-15 7-65
Georgia State YES —— —— —— YES YES —— 6-for-12 3-33
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Southeastern Louisiana Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 3 23.85 65 21.00 6.72 65
UL Monroe Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -3 -23.85 65 -21.00 5.77 96
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Southeastern Louisiana 71.00 Should have lost by 23.85 437 23.58 1 -0.75 22.00 FADE
UL Monroe 71.00 Should have won by 23.85 554 47.43 2 2.00 31.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Southeastern Louisiana —— —— —— YES YES —— —— 3-for-10 11-89
UL Monroe YES YES YES —— —— YES YES 11-for-18 10-75
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Weber State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 31 60.87 51 30.50 1.17 52
Utah Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -31 -60.87 51 -30.50 7.62 77
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Weber State 54.74 Should have lost by 60.87 61 -3.07 0 -2.54 3.00 BAD
Utah 54.74 Should have won by 60.87 587 57.81 4 4.00 28.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Weber State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-15 5-42
Utah YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-14 4-20
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Missouri State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 41 67.16 75 46.00 4.38 63
Oklahoma State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -41 -67.16 75 -46.00 7.96 92
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Missouri State 88.39 Should have lost by 67.16 276 10.62 2 -1.83 14.00 FADE
Oklahoma State 88.39 Should have won by 67.16 732 77.77 2 2.00 36.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Missouri State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-16 7-69
Oklahoma State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 11-for-18 7-55
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Savannah State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 52 48.36 52 38.50 3.24 55
UAB Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -52 -48.36 52 -38.50 6.71 82
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Savannah State 61.34 Should have lost by 48.36 178 6.49 2 -1.21 12.00 BAD
UAB 61.34 Should have won by 48.36 550 54.85 2 2.00 38.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Savannah State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-12 10-94
UAB YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-12 4-55
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Northwestern State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 52 73.60 66 46.50 5.23 48
Texas A&M Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -52 -73.60 66 -46.50 7.90 96
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Northwestern State 90.06 Should have lost by 73.60 251 8.23 0 -3.88 13.00 BAD
Texas A&M 90.06 Should have won by 73.60 758 81.83 1 1.00 40.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Northwestern State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-12 11-93
Texas A&M YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-11 8-95
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
UC – Davis Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -6 -0.01 82 2.50 6.47 91
San Jose State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 6 0.01 82 -2.50 5.62 90
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
UC – Davis 75.44 Should have won by 0.01 589 37.72 1 0.79 31.00 GOOD
San Jose State 75.44 Should have lost by 0.01 506 37.72 3 3.00 27.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
UC – Davis YES YES YES YES YES YES —— 6-for-18 11-79
San Jose State —— —— —— —— —— —— YES 8-for-21 12-125
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Rhode Island Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -2 14.33 40 18.50 5.69 58
Delaware Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 2 -14.33 40 -18.50 5.69 61
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Rhode Island 47.61 Should have lost by 14.33 330 16.64 1 -0.54 13.00 GOOD
Delaware 47.61 Should have won by 14.33 347 30.97 3 3.00 18.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Rhode Island YES —— —— YES YES —— —— 5-12, 42% 8-75
Delaware —— YES YES —— —— YES YES 5-13, 38% 4-35
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Morehead State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 26 30.99 72 27.00 4.96 67
Eastern Kentucky Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -26 -30.99 72 -27.00 6.64 85
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Morehead State 67.10 Should have lost by 30.99 332 18.05 2 -0.25 15.00 FADE
Eastern Kentucky 67.10 Should have won by 30.99 564 49.05 1 1.00 29.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Morehead State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-15, 20% 4-45
Eastern Kentucky YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-16, 56% 7-67
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
New Hampshire Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 28 18.46 42 -6.00 2.15 54
Maine Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -28 -18.46 42 6.00 6.43 70
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
New Hampshire 38.15 Should have lost by 18.46 116 9.85 1 1.00 9.00 BAD
Maine 38.15 Should have won by 18.46 450 28.30 0 -0.50 24.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
New Hampshire —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 5-15, 33% 5-61
Maine YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 5-13, 38% 7-49
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Tennessee Tech Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 24 12.72 44 14.50 4.56 72
Chattanooga Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -24 -12.72 44 -14.50 7.34 62
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Tennessee Tech 55.43 Should have lost by 12.72 328 21.36 3 1.79 15.00 PLAY
Chattanooga 55.43 Should have won by 12.72 455 34.07 1 1.00 15.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Tennessee Tech —— —— YES —— —— —— YES 6-17, 35% 5-30
Chattanooga YES YES —— YES YES —— —— 8-17, 47% 10-69
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Southern Illinois Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -39 -11.54 59 -16.00 4.65 96
Murray State Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 39 11.54 59 16.00 4.13 69
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Southern Illinois 52.28 Should have won by 11.54 446 31.91 2 2.00 27.00 FADE
Murray State 52.28 Should have lost by 11.54 285 20.37 6 4.67 17.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Southern Illinois YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 10-21, 48% 9-94
Murray State —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 2-12, 17% 5-61
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Mississippi Valley State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 28 43.03 42 42.50 3.63 65
North Dakota Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -28 -43.03 42 -42.50 6.48 80
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Mississippi Valley State 63.12 Should have lost by 43.03 236 10.05 2 -1.54 16.00 FADE
North Dakota 63.12 Should have won by 43.03 518 53.08 1 1.00 29.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Mississippi Valley State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 7-17, 41% 10-84
North Dakota YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-16, 63% 8-76
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Western Illinois Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 3 -8.46 49 -2.50 4.46 71
Montana State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -3 8.46 49 2.50 4.19 57
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Western Illinois 38.45 Should have won by 8.46 317 23.45 2 2.00 18.00 PLAY
Montana State 38.45 Should have lost by 8.46 239 15.00 1 0.79 12.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Western Illinois —— YES YES YES —— YES YES 3-15, 20% 7-41
Montana State YES —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-14, 21% 2-7
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Utah State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 7 20.70 69 23.50 4.99 69
Michigan State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -7 -20.70 69 -23.50 6.03 75
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Utah State 57.62 Should have lost by 20.70 344 18.46 2 0.04 25.00 GOOD
Michigan State 57.62 Should have won by 20.70 452 39.16 2 2.00 23.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Utah State —— —— —— —— YES YES —— 7-for-13 7-49
Michigan State YES YES YES YES —— —— YES 11-for-17 9-62
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Syracuse Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -13 2.93 97 -4.50 6.22 90
Western Michigan Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 13 -2.93 97 4.50 9.70 64
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Syracuse 81.40 Should have lost by 2.93 560 39.23 1 1.00 26.00 FADE
Western Michigan 81.40 Should have won by 2.93 621 42.16 2 1.63 24.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Syracuse YES —— YES —— YES YES YES 7-for-17 5-45
Western Michigan —— YES —— YES —— —— —— 2-for-10 6-45
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Western Kentucky Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 31 32.53 37 36.50 4.77 64
Wisconsin Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -31 -32.53 37 -36.50 7.01 70
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Western Kentucky 62.06 Should have lost by 32.53 305 14.76 2 -1.04 15.00 GOOD
Wisconsin 62.06 Should have won by 32.53 491 47.30 1 1.00 24.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Western Kentucky —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-16 6-65
Wisconsin YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-13 8-70
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Colorado Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -32 -27.67 58 -7.00 9.17 65
Colorado State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 32 27.67 58 7.00 3.74 76
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Colorado 61.87 Should have won by 27.67 596 44.77 2 2.00 23.00 GOOD
Colorado State 61.87 Should have lost by 27.67 284 17.10 1 0.42 20.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Colorado YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 4-for-9 6-44
Colorado State —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 7-for-19 5-35
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
San Diego State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 21 14.95 41 14.00 5.06 52
Stanford Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -21 -14.95 41 -14.00 6.47 59
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
San Diego State 45.70 Should have lost by 14.95 263 15.37 1 -0.17 11.00 BAD
Stanford 45.70 Should have won by 14.95 382 30.33 1 1.00 19.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
San Diego State —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 4-for-13 11-125
Stanford YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 7-for-15 3-20
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Army Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 20 6.46 48 14.00 5.37 68
Duke Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -20 -6.46 48 -14.00 7.33 52
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Army 52.04 Should have lost by 6.46 365 22.79 2 0.83 18.00 PLAY
Duke 52.04 Should have won by 6.46 381 29.25 1 1.00 21.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Army —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 5-for-14 7-69
Duke YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 2-for-9 4-30
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Monmouth Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 34 17.63 68 23.00 4.89 79
Eastern Michigan Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -34 -17.63 68 -23.00 7.17 66
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Monmouth 61.75 Should have lost by 17.63 386 22.06 1 -0.92 23.00 PLAY
Eastern Michigan 61.75 Should have won by 17.63 473 39.69 0 0.00 27.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Monmouth —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 7-for-16 10-102
Eastern Michigan YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 7-for-11 7-65
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Portland State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 53 39.28 91 28.50 4.52 77
Nevada Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -53 -39.28 91 -28.50 10.10 63
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Portland State 74.65 Should have lost by 39.28 348 17.68 1 -1.38 17.00 BAD
Nevada 74.65 Should have won by 39.28 636 56.97 1 1.00 25.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Portland State —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 3-for-19 8-55
Nevada YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 4-for-9 9-106
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Florida Atlantic Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 49 32.65 77 18.50 4.38 74
Oklahoma Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -49 -32.65 77 -18.50 10.48 62
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Florida Atlantic 71.20 Should have lost by 32.65 324 19.27 1 -0.54 20.00 BAD
Oklahoma 71.20 Should have won by 32.65 650 51.93 0 0.00 26.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Florida Atlantic —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 4-for-15 6-48
Oklahoma YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 6-for-10 6-70
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Houston Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -18 -26.89 72 -25.50 9.37 62
Rice Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 18 26.89 72 25.50 5.34 83
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Houston 74.60 Should have won by 26.89 581 50.74 2 2.00 18.00 PLAY
Rice 74.60 Should have lost by 26.89 443 23.86 2 -0.13 22.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Houston YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 5-for-11 5-38
Rice —— —— YES —— YES YES YES 11-for-22 6-57
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Oregon State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 46 53.87 108 39.50 6.22 63
Ohio State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -46 -53.87 108 -39.50 8.41 86
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Oregon State 89.78 Should have lost by 53.87 392 17.95 2 -1.29 15.00 BAD
Ohio State 89.78 Should have won by 53.87 723 71.82 2 2.00 35.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Oregon State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-16 5-49
Ohio State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 12-for-15 6-50
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Appalachian State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 7 11.49 83 24.50 5.93 76
Penn State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -7 -11.49 83 -24.50 5.49 79
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Appalachian State 62.62 Should have lost by 11.49 451 25.57 1 -1.04 22.00 GOOD
Penn State 62.62 Should have won by 11.49 434 37.06 0 0.00 24.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Appalachian State —— YES —— YES YES —— —— 6-for-16 9-100
Penn State YES —— YES —— —— YES YES 6-for-15 2-10
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Massachusetts Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 34 26.50 76 20.50 4.63 68
Boston College Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -34 -26.50 76 -20.50 6.97 86
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Massachusetts 67.15 Should have lost by 26.50 315 20.32 3 1.29 18.00 BAD
Boston College 67.15 Should have won by 26.50 599 46.82 0 0.00 31.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Massachusetts —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-for-13 2-8
Boston College YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 5-for-11 7-38
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Kent State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 10.47 55 18.00 5.47 83
Illinois Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 -10.47 55 -18.00 6.77 70
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Kent State 65.18 Should have lost by 10.47 454 27.35 2 0.50 24.00 GOOD
Illinois 65.18 Should have won by 10.47 474 37.82 1 1.00 22.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Kent State —— —— YES —— YES YES —— 5-for-17 5-38
Illinois YES YES —— YES —— —— YES 7-for-15 3-25
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Texas State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 28 27.20 42 16.50 3.13 54
Rutgers Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -28 -27.20 42 -16.50 5.64 75
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Texas State 43.38 Should have lost by 27.20 169 8.09 3 1.63 13.00 BAD
Rutgers 43.38 Should have won by 27.20 423 35.29 4 4.00 24.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Texas State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-13 15-119
Rutgers YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-14 7-50
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Indiana Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -10 -12.70 66 -13.00 5.67 82
Florida International Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 10 12.70 66 13.00 4.88 67
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Indiana 55.92 Should have won by 12.70 465 34.31 1 1.00 31.00 BAD
Florida International 55.92 Should have lost by 12.70 327 21.61 3 1.92 22.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Indiana YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 7-for-15 8-90
Florida International —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 5-for-12 7-70
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Northern Illinois Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 26 12.13 40 10.00 3.40 62
Iowa Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -26 -12.13 40 -10.00 4.82 73
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Northern Illinois 39.69 Should have lost by 12.13 211 13.78 2 1.17 15.00 BAD
Iowa 39.69 Should have won by 12.13 352 25.91 1 1.00 18.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Northern Illinois —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-for-12 7-65
Iowa YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 8-for-16 8-66
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Texas Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 5 -12.53 63 -12.00 5.40 75
Maryland Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -5 12.53 63 12.00 5.09 80
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Texas 56.37 Should have won by 12.53 405 34.45 3 3.00 22.00 PLAY
Maryland 56.37 Should have lost by 12.53 407 21.92 0 -1.00 20.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Texas —— —— —— YES —— YES —— 3-for-15 10-102
Maryland YES YES YES —— YES —— YES 6-for-18 8-70
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Boise State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -36 -1.20 76 -8.50 7.30 57
Troy Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 36 1.20 76 8.50 4.86 78
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Boise State 55.17 Should have won by 1.20 416 28.18 1 1.00 16.00 FADE
Troy 55.17 Should have lost by 1.20 379 26.98 4 3.29 21.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Boise State YES YES —— YES YES —— —— 9-for-15 4-27
Troy —— —— YES —— —— YES YES 4-for-15 3-25
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Louisiana Tech Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -4 -12.66 56 -10.50 5.71 77
South Alabama Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 4 12.66 56 10.50 4.67 66
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Louisiana Tech 52.52 Should have won by 12.66 440 32.59 3 3.00 22.00 PLAY
South Alabama 52.52 Should have lost by 12.66 308 19.93 4 3.13 15.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Louisiana Tech YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 4-for-14 6-55
South Alabama —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-for-13 7-82
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Marshall Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -7 0.66 63 1.00 5.91 75
Miami (Ohio) Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 7 -0.66 63 -1.00 6.08 73
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Marshall 61.18 Should have lost by 0.66 443 30.26 0 -0.08 24.00 GOOD
Miami (Ohio) 61.18 Should have won by 0.66 444 30.92 0 0.00 23.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Marshall YES —— YES —— YES YES YES 6-for-14 7-62
Miami (Ohio) —— YES —— YES —— —— —— 5-for-15 8-71
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Southern Methodist Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 23 18.73 69 3.50 5.95 43
North Texas Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -23 -18.73 69 -3.50 5.63 94
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Southern Methodist 54.62 Should have lost by 18.73 256 17.95 1 0.71 9.00 BAD
North Texas 54.62 Should have won by 18.73 529 36.68 0 0.00 34.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Southern Methodist —— —— —— YES —— —— —— 2-for-10 4-40
North Texas YES YES YES —— YES YES YES 9-for-17 5-40
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Middle Tennessee Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 28 1.07 42 3.00 4.08 72
Vanderbilt Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -28 -1.07 42 -3.00 6.43 54
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Middle Tennessee 44.30 Should have lost by 1.07 294 21.61 2 1.75 21.00 PLAY
Vanderbilt 44.30 Should have won by 1.07 347 22.69 0 0.00 19.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Middle Tennessee —— —— YES —— —— YES —— 8-for-16 6-40
Vanderbilt YES YES —— YES YES —— YES 7-for-13 7-49
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Brigham Young Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -5 1.29 51 11.50 5.52 71
Arizona Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 5 -1.29 51 -11.50 4.72 69
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Brigham Young 49.47 Should have lost by 1.29 392 24.09 0 -0.96 23.00 GOOD
Arizona 49.47 Should have won by 1.29 326 25.38 0 0.00 22.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Brigham Young YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 5-for-12 10-94
Arizona —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 6-for-15 4-26
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Texas-San Antonio Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 42 22.83 56 17.50 2.86 77
Arizona State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -42 -22.83 56 -17.50 8.38 60
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Texas-San Antonio 52.99 Should have lost by 22.83 220 15.08 3 1.54 18.00 BAD
Arizona State 52.99 Should have won by 22.83 503 37.91 0 0.00 21.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Texas-San Antonio —— —— YES —— —— —— —— 7-for-18 5-29
Arizona State YES YES —— YES YES YES YES 3-for-10 11-95
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
UNLV Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 22 20.75 64 26.00 5.79 70
Southern California Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -22 -20.75 64 -26.00 6.86 73
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
UNLV 65.79 Should have lost by 20.75 405 22.52 1 -1.17 17.00 GOOD
Southern California 65.79 Should have won by 20.75 501 43.27 0 0.00 23.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
UNLV —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-for-15 4-35
Southern California YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 7-for-16 6-58
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Cincinnati Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -9 6.57 43 14.00 3.95 77
UCLA Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 9 -6.57 43 -14.00 4.50 68
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Cincinnati 42.48 Should have lost by 6.57 304 17.95 1 -0.17 18.00 GOOD
UCLA 42.48 Should have won by 6.57 306 24.53 1 1.00 15.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Cincinnati YES —— YES —— YES YES YES 5-for-18 7-45
UCLA —— YES —— YES —— —— —— 6-for-15 6-26
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Washington Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 5 -1.65 37 1.50 6.12 65
Auburn Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -5 1.65 37 -1.50 5.19 81
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Washington 56.44 Should have won by 1.65 398 29.04 2 1.88 24.00 PLAY
Auburn 56.44 Should have lost by 1.65 420 27.39 0 0.00 27.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Washington —— —— —— YES —— —— —— 5-for-14 10-95
Auburn YES YES YES —— YES YES YES 9-for-18 12-111
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Central Michigan Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 15 28.71 55 17.50 3.86 66
Kentucky Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -15 -28.71 55 -17.50 6.10 70
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Central Michigan 49.18 Should have lost by 28.71 255 10.23 0 -1.46 11.00 FADE
Kentucky 49.18 Should have won by 28.71 427 38.95 4 4.00 27.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Central Michigan —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-18 12-106
Kentucky YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-13 3-40
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Mississippi Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -20 -7.78 74 -2.50 9.10 60
Texas Tech Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 20 7.78 74 2.50 5.12 95
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Mississippi 71.26 Should have won by 7.78 546 39.52 1 1.00 22.00 GOOD
Texas Tech 71.26 Should have lost by 7.78 486 31.74 0 -0.21 31.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Mississippi YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 4-for-13 7-49
Texas Tech —— —— YES —— YES YES YES 8-for-19 6-80
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Coastal Carolina Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 34 38.57 64 31.00 4.34 56
South Carolina Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -34 -38.57 64 -31.00 7.79 72
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Coastal Carolina 63.02 Should have lost by 38.57 243 12.22 1 -1.58 20.00 BAD
South Carolina 63.02 Should have won by 38.57 561 50.79 0 0.00 32.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Coastal Carolina —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 2-for-9 4-36
South Carolina YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 5-for-9 9-99
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
West Virginia Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -26 -24.77 54 -10.00 8.97 61
Tennessee Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 26 24.77 54 10.00 4.78 63
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
West Virginia 59.94 Should have won by 24.77 547 42.35 1 1.00 26.00 GOOD
Tennessee 59.94 Should have lost by 24.77 301 17.59 0 -0.83 19.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
West Virginia YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 5-for-9 4-35
Tennessee —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 5-for-14 6-48
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
North Carolina Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 7 -6.20 41 7.50 4.12 73
California Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -7 6.20 41 -7.50 3.44 81
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
North Carolina 40.03 Should have won by 6.20 301 23.11 4 3.38 16.00 GOOD
California 40.03 Should have lost by 6.20 279 16.92 0 0.00 19.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
North Carolina —— YES —— YES —— —— —— 4-for-17 13-124
California YES —— YES —— YES YES YES 4-for-17 5-35
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Washington State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -22 -16.33 60 -3.00 5.05 78
Wyoming Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 22 16.33 60 3.00 3.49 59
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Washington State 41.67 Should have won by 16.33 394 29.00 2 2.00 24.00 GOOD
Wyoming 41.67 Should have lost by 16.33 206 12.67 1 0.75 15.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Washington State YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 3-for-14 10-75
Wyoming —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 3-for-13 13-109
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Bowling Green Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 34 27.93 82 33.50 4.69 87
Oregon Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -34 -27.93 82 -33.50 7.41 68
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Bowling Green 68.06 Should have lost by 27.93 408 20.07 3 0.21 22.00 PLAY
Oregon 68.06 Should have won by 27.93 504 47.99 3 3.00 23.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Bowling Green —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 5-for-19 5-50
Oregon YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 6-for-13 3-35
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Old Dominion Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 42 15.07 62 -5.00 4.12 73
Liberty Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -42 -15.07 62 5.00 7.88 75
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Old Dominion 60.90 Should have lost by 15.07 301 22.92 2 2.00 18.00 BAD
Liberty 60.90 Should have won by 15.07 591 37.98 1 0.58 29.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Old Dominion —— —— —— —— —— —— YES 3-for-16 8-75
Liberty YES YES YES YES YES YES —— 5-for-13 6-58
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Michigan Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 -3.71 41 -3.00 4.45 69
Notre Dame Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 3.71 41 3.00 4.38 69
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Michigan 42.03 Should have won by 3.71 307 22.87 2 2.00 20.00 PLAY
Notre Dame 42.03 Should have lost by 3.71 302 19.16 1 0.75 21.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Michigan —— YES —— YES —— —— —— 6-for-13 7-52
Notre Dame YES —— —— —— YES YES YES 7-for-15 4-40
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Louisville Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 37 28.73 65 23.50 4.12 65
Alabama Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -37 -28.73 65 -23.50 7.63 68
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Louisville 58.62 Should have lost by 28.73 268 14.95 2 0.04 15.00 BAD
Alabama 58.62 Should have won by 28.73 519 43.67 1 1.00 22.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Louisville —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-15 11-93
Alabama YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-15 10-111
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Navy Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 18 1.37 100 -14.00 6.63 62
Hawaii Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -18 -1.37 100 14.00 7.74 68
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Navy 64.46 Should have lost by 1.37 411 31.54 0 0.00 19.00 BAD
Hawaii 64.46 Should have won by 1.37 526 32.92 1 -0.17 25.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Navy —— —— —— —— —— —— YES 5-for-12 2-18
Hawaii YES YES YES YES YES YES —— 7-for-12 1-5
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
James Madison Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 11 9.84 37 15.00 5.37 68
NC State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -11 -9.84 37 -15.00 5.44 72
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
James Madison 52.97 Should have lost by 9.84 365 21.56 1 -0.25 23.00 GOOD
NC State 52.97 Should have won by 9.84 392 31.40 1 1.00 25.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
James Madison —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 7-for-13 5-25
NC State YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 11-for-16 5-50
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Southern Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 48 44.99 62 49.50 3.56 52
Texas Christian Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -48 -44.99 62 -49.50 6.74 74
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Southern 61.76 Should have lost by 44.99 185 8.39 3 -1.13 9.00 GOOD
Texas Christian 61.76 Should have won by 44.99 499 53.38 0 0.00 30.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Southern —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-14 5-40
Texas Christian YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-11 5-48
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Villanova Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -2 -1.74 36 14.50 5.26 77
Temple Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 2 1.74 36 -14.50 4.56 55
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Villanova 44.63 Should have won by 1.74 405 23.18 1 -0.21 26.00 GOOD
Temple 44.63 Should have lost by 1.74 251 21.44 2 2.00 16.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Villanova YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 8-for-16 9-82
Temple —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 8-for-13 6-56
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Furman Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 41 49.24 55 50.50 4.05 61
Clemson Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -41 -49.24 55 -50.50 7.87 69
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Furman 70.09 Should have lost by 49.24 247 10.43 2 -2.21 13.00 GOOD
Clemson 70.09 Should have won by 49.24 543 59.67 0 0.00 23.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Furman —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-for-16 3-22
Clemson YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 4-for-12 0-0
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Alcorn State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 41 54.64 41 43.00 2.86 51
Georgia Tech Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -41 -54.64 41 -43.00 7.54 72
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Alcorn State 61.00 Should have lost by 54.64 146 3.18 2 -1.58 9.00 FADE
Georgia Tech 61.00 Should have won by 54.64 543 57.82 3 3.00 28.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Alcorn State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-11 3-20
Georgia Tech YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-12 3-30
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Stony Brook Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 38 25.86 38 15.50 1.50 50
Air Force Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -38 -25.86 38 -15.50 4.26 85
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Stony Brook 32.63 Should have lost by 25.86 75 3.38 2 0.71 4.00 BAD
Air Force 32.63 Should have won by 25.86 362 29.25 2 2.00 23.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Stony Brook —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-14 8-63
Air Force YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-20 3-30
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Howard Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 6 -1.85 70 31.50 7.01 92
Ohio Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -6 1.85 70 -31.50 5.90 72
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Howard 73.99 Should have won by 1.85 645 37.92 4 1.38 26.00 GOOD
Ohio 73.99 Should have lost by 1.85 425 36.07 0 0.00 22.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Howard —— YES YES YES —— YES —— 12-for-21 8-71
Ohio YES —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-15 5-50
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Albany Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 26 20.21 40 27.00 5.67 57
Pittsburgh Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -26 -20.21 40 -27.00 6.78 60
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Albany 53.27 Should have lost by 20.21 323 16.53 2 -0.25 16.00 GOOD
Pittsburgh 53.27 Should have won by 20.21 407 36.74 2 2.00 21.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Albany —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-13 7-40
Pittsburgh YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-9 6-55
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Austin Peay Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 45 52.87 45 48.50 3.04 50
Georgia Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -45 -52.87 45 -48.50 8.47 60
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Austin Peay 60.50 Should have lost by 52.87 152 3.81 1 -3.04 7.00 FADE
Georgia 60.50 Should have won by 52.87 508 56.68 1 1.00 21.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Austin Peay —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-13 3-15
Georgia YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 4-for-9 3-40
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Tennessee-Martin Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 37 39.53 65 35.50 4.69 59
Missouri Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -37 -39.53 65 -35.50 7.15 78
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Tennessee-Martin 66.31 Should have lost by 39.53 277 13.39 1 -1.96 13.00 BAD
Missouri 66.31 Should have won by 39.53 558 52.92 0 0.00 26.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Tennessee-Martin —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-14 13-108
Missouri YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-15 4-45
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Eastern Illinois Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 35 15.68 75 35.50 4.41 81
Arkansas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -35 -15.68 75 -35.50 6.56 66
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Eastern Illinois 59.32 Should have lost by 15.68 357 21.82 5 2.04 21.00 GOOD
Arkansas 59.32 Should have won by 15.68 433 37.50 0 0.00 18.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Eastern Illinois —— —— YES —— —— YES YES 6-for-18 6-30
Arkansas YES YES —— YES YES —— —— 7-for-15 4-40
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
South Carolina State Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 31 21.68 43 28.00 2.90 52
Georgia Southern Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -31 -21.68 43 -28.00 5.80 60
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
South Carolina State 38.47 Should have lost by 21.68 151 8.39 2 -0.33 10.00 PLAY
Georgia Southern 38.47 Should have won by 21.68 348 30.08 0 0.00 19.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
South Carolina State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-12 3-35
Georgia Southern YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-12 2-10
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Fordham Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 24 22.67 44 16.00 4.56 63
Charlotte Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -24 -22.67 44 -16.00 7.28 67
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Fordham 55.66 Should have lost by 22.67 287 16.49 1 -0.33 12.00 BAD
Charlotte 55.66 Should have won by 22.67 488 39.16 1 1.00 20.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Fordham —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-15 6-30
Charlotte YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-15 4-45
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Delaware State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 38 20.13 58 44.50 3.82 72
Buffalo Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -38 -20.13 58 -44.50 5.36 66
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Delaware State 49.74 Should have lost by 20.13 275 14.80 4 0.29 18.00 GOOD
Buffalo 49.74 Should have won by 20.13 354 34.93 0 0.00 21.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Delaware State —— —— YES —— —— —— YES 7-for-18 6-75
Buffalo YES YES —— YES YES YES —— 2-for-13 5-42
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Richmond Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 29 24.01 55 14.50 4.69 48
Virginia Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -29 -24.01 55 -14.50 6.65 74
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Richmond 51.81 Should have lost by 24.01 225 13.90 2 0.79 9.00 BAD
Virginia 51.81 Should have won by 24.01 492 37.91 1 1.00 25.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Richmond —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-10 5-69
Virginia YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-15 4-24
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Elon Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 20 31.16 48 28.00 3.84 61
South Florida Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -20 -31.16 48 -28.00 6.13 84
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Elon 57.54 Should have lost by 31.16 234 13.19 2 -0.33 16.00 FADE
South Florida 57.54 Should have won by 31.16 515 44.35 0 0.00 27.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Elon —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 4-for-13 6-40
South Florida YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 11-for-19 7-55
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Virginia Military Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 63 53.10 69 48.50 2.88 77
Toledo Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -63 -53.10 69 -48.50 7.83 77
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Virginia Military 73.96 Should have lost by 53.10 222 10.43 3 -1.04 14.00 BAD
Toledo 73.96 Should have won by 53.10 603 63.53 0 0.00 30.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Virginia Military —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 7-for-22 3-11
Toledo YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 4-for-11 5-50
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Nicholls State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -3 -0.89 49 9.50 4.45 74
Kansas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 3 0.89 49 -9.50 3.64 70
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Nicholls State 40.11 Should have won by 0.89 329 20.50 1 0.21 17.00 GOOD
Kansas 40.11 Should have lost by 0.89 255 19.61 1 1.00 14.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Nicholls State YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 10-for-20 6-35
Kansas —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 6-for-17 7-54
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Central Arkansas Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 11 24.29 65 13.00 4.33 57
Tulsa Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -11 -24.29 65 -13.00 5.49 86
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Central Arkansas 51.39 Should have lost by 24.29 247 13.55 2 0.92 16.00 FADE
Tulsa 51.39 Should have won by 24.29 472 37.84 3 3.00 25.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Central Arkansas —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 0-for-10 5-35
Tulsa YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 12-for-20 9-92
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Jackson State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 48 33.12 62 33.00 3.37 59
Southern Mississippi Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -48 -33.12 62 -33.00 5.86 78
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Jackson State 51.98 Should have lost by 33.12 199 9.43 4 1.25 10.00 BAD
Southern Mississippi 51.98 Should have won by 33.12 457 42.55 3 3.00 29.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Jackson State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-14 5-35
Southern Mississippi YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-16 4-35
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Grambling State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 32 27.23 66 13.50 4.78 64
UL Lafayette Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -32 -27.23 66 -13.50 7.62 73
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Grambling State 61.59 Should have lost by 27.23 306 17.18 0 -1.13 15.00 BAD
UL Lafayette 61.59 Should have won by 27.23 556 44.41 1 1.00 27.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Grambling State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-16 9-86
UL Lafayette YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-10 6-40
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
South Dakota Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 3 25.96 51 24.00 4.34 77
Kansas State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -3 -25.96 51 -24.00 5.44 75
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
South Dakota 53.48 Should have lost by 25.96 334 13.76 0 -2.00 21.00 FADE
Kansas State 53.48 Should have won by 25.96 408 39.72 4 4.00 19.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
South Dakota —— —— YES —— YES YES —— 4-for-16 5-35
Kansas State YES YES —— YES —— —— YES 9-for-20 13-129
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Mercer Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 52 59.25 80 31.00 3.41 51
Memphis Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -52 -59.25 80 -31.00 8.74 86
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Mercer 75.85 Should have lost by 59.25 174 8.30 2 -0.58 9.00 BAD
Memphis 75.85 Should have won by 59.25 752 67.55 1 1.00 31.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Mercer —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-14 7-60
Memphis YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-15 7-57
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
SE Missouri State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 27 55.85 69 32.00 4.83 59
Arkansas State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -27 -55.85 69 -32.00 8.67 79
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
SE Missouri State 76.72 Should have lost by 55.85 285 10.44 0 -2.67 14.00 FADE
Arkansas State 76.72 Should have won by 55.85 685 66.29 3 3.00 30.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
SE Missouri State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-14 6-55
Arkansas State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-12 12-119
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Charleston Southern Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 47 34.73 59 43.00 3.81 59
Florida Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -47 -34.73 59 -43.00 6.73 66
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Charleston Southern 55.50 Should have lost by 34.73 225 10.38 2 -1.58 9.00 PLAY
Florida 55.50 Should have won by 34.73 444 45.11 0 0.00 25.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Charleston Southern —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 3-for-14 6-50
Florida YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 2-for-9 3-20
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Northern Arizona Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -20 -5.29 40 -7.00 5.25 61
Texas El Paso Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 20 5.29 40 7.00 3.42 67
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Northern Arizona 38.25 Should have won by 5.29 320 21.77 1 1.00 14.00 FADE
Texas El Paso 38.25 Should have lost by 5.29 229 16.48 3 2.42 15.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Northern Arizona YES YES —— YES YES —— —— 6-for-15 7-70
Texas El Paso —— —— YES —— —— YES YES 7-for-18 10-76
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Stephen F. Austin Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 57 56.11 69 47.50 3.26 78
Mississippi State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -57 -56.11 69 -47.50 8.70 71
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Stephen F. Austin 76.58 Should have lost by 56.11 254 10.24 1 -2.96 16.00 BAD
Mississippi State 76.58 Should have won by 56.11 618 66.34 0 0.00 25.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Stephen F. Austin —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 3-for-18 9-56
Mississippi State YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 7-for-13 7-80
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Abilene Christian Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 28 40.05 82 41.00 6.96 67
Baylor Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -28 -40.05 82 -41.00 9.47 64
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Abilene Christian 83.32 Should have lost by 40.05 466 21.64 1 -2.42 19.00 GOOD
Baylor 83.32 Should have won by 40.05 606 61.69 1 1.00 26.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Abilene Christian —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 6-for-15 5-37
Baylor YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 2-for-9 5-53
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Incarnate Word Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 32 37.11 92 36.00 7.75 73
New Mexico Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -32 -37.11 92 -36.00 7.47 91
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Incarnate Word 93.66 Should have lost by 37.11 566 28.27 2 -1.00 19.00 FADE
New Mexico 93.66 Should have won by 37.11 680 65.39 2 2.00 32.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Incarnate Word —— —— —— YES YES —— —— 5-for-15 8-69
New Mexico YES YES YES —— —— YES YES 5-for-11 7-48
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Idaho Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 66 13.08 92 25.50 4.72 65
Fresno State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -66 -13.08 92 -25.50 6.87 71
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Idaho 58.84 Should have lost by 13.08 307 22.88 7 4.88 15.00 PLAY
Fresno State 58.84 Should have won by 13.08 488 35.96 0 0.00 24.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Idaho —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-for-13 4-20
Fresno State YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 8-for-13 3-27
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Saint Francis U Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 2 6.23 40 6.00 5.08 59
Lehigh Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -2 -6.23 40 -6.00 5.10 63
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Saint Francis U 42.96 Should have lost by 6.23 300 18.37 1 0.50 15.00 FADE
Lehigh 42.96 Should have won by 6.23 321 24.59 2 2.00 17.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Saint Francis U —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-15, 33% 4-40
Lehigh YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-14, 36% 5-41
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Georgetown Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -25 -13.47 53 1.00 5.84 75
Marist Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 25 13.47 53 -1.00 2.78 64
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Georgetown 42.36 Should have won by 13.47 438 27.92 2 1.92 23.00 GOOD
Marist 42.36 Should have lost by 13.47 178 14.44 4 4.00 12.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Georgetown YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 8-16, 50% 10-85
Marist —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 4-14, 29% 6-55
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Robert Morris Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 21 9.06 77 13.00 5.47 76
Dayton Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -21 -9.06 77 -13.00 8.02 58
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Robert Morris 61.56 Should have lost by 9.06 416 26.25 1 -0.08 26.00 PLAY
Dayton 61.56 Should have won by 9.06 465 35.31 0 0.00 23.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Robert Morris —— —— YES —— YES YES —— 13-18, 72% 5-43
Dayton YES YES —— YES —— —— YES 5-7, 71% 6-61
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Holy Cross Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 7 3.02 41 15.50 4.21 67
Colgate Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -7 -3.02 41 -15.50 4.60 62
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Holy Cross 39.58 Should have lost by 3.02 282 18.28 3 1.71 17.00 GOOD
Colgate 39.58 Should have won by 3.02 285 21.30 1 1.00 15.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Holy Cross —— —— YES —— —— YES YES 3-14, 21% 5-35
Colgate YES YES —— YES YES —— —— 6-15, 40% 6-39
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Butler Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -2 32.97 44 37.00 4.91 69
Youngstown State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 2 -32.97 44 -37.00 7.11 66
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Butler 62.05 Should have lost by 32.97 339 14.54 0 -3.08 23.00 GOOD
Youngstown State 62.05 Should have won by 32.97 469 47.51 1 1.00 20.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Butler YES —— YES —— YES YES —— 8-16, 50% 1-0
Youngstown State —— YES —— YES —— —— YES 5-12, 42% 9-97
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Cal Poly Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 46 42.54 52 37.50 3.29 63
North Dakota State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -46 -42.54 52 -37.50 8.83 58
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Cal Poly 58.97 Should have lost by 42.54 207 8.22 1 -2.13 10.00 BAD
North Dakota State 58.97 Should have won by 42.54 512 50.75 1 1.00 22.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Cal Poly —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 5-17, 29% 5-40
North Dakota State YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 5-9, 56% 2-21
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
McNeese Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -3 -3.07 31 -3.50 4.88 66
Northern Colorado Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 3 3.07 31 3.50 4.85 62
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
McNeese 43.03 Should have won by 3.07 322 23.05 2 2.00 15.00 BAD
Northern Colorado 43.03 Should have lost by 3.07 301 19.98 2 1.71 14.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
McNeese YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-15, 33% 7-40
Northern Colorado —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-15, 20% 7-70
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Lafayette Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 29 13.77 41 6.50 4.36 58
Sacred Heart Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -29 -13.77 41 -6.50 5.65 72
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Lafayette 46.09 Should have lost by 13.77 253 16.16 2 1.46 16.00 BAD
Sacred Heart 46.09 Should have won by 13.77 407 29.93 2 2.00 23.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Lafayette —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-10, 20% 6-42
Sacred Heart YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-16, 44% 7-50
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
William & Mary Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 -12.50 21 -13.50 4.77 73
Bucknell Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 12.50 21 13.50 4.43 58
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
William & Mary 42.68 Should have won by 12.50 348 27.59 2 2.00 20.00 BAD
Bucknell 42.68 Should have lost by 12.50 257 15.09 2 0.88 11.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
William & Mary YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-15, 33% 8-80
Bucknell —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-14, 29% 4-30
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Citadel Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 7 22.75 49 9.50 3.64 66
Wofford Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -7 -22.75 49 -9.50 7.70 54
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Citadel 46.24 Should have lost by 22.75 240 11.74 0 -0.79 13.00 FADE
Wofford 46.24 Should have won by 22.75 416 34.49 3 3.00 16.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Citadel —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 2-16, 13% 2-20
Wofford YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 5-10, 50% 3-45
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Towson Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -26 -27.01 46 -23.50 5.99 67
Morgan State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 26 27.01 46 23.50 2.74 61
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Towson 42.92 Should have won by 27.01 401 34.96 2 2.00 21.00 GOOD
Morgan State 42.92 Should have lost by 27.01 167 7.95 2 0.04 13.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Towson YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 3-14, 21% 8-100
Morgan State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-13, 23% 12-107
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Bethune-Cookman Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 31 16.45 37 2.00 4.36 56
Tennessee State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -31 -16.45 37 -2.00 6.82 77
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Bethune-Cookman 53.31 Should have lost by 16.45 244 18.43 2 1.83 9.00 BAD
Tennessee State 53.31 Should have won by 16.45 525 34.88 0 0.00 22.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Bethune-Cookman —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 2-13, 15% 3-25
Tennessee State YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 8-17, 47% 11-89
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
North Alabama Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -4 9.25 64 18.50 6.76 82
Southern Utah Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 4 -9.25 64 -18.50 6.41 83
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
North Alabama 75.94 Should have lost by 9.25 554 33.34 1 -0.54 28.00 GOOD
Southern Utah 75.94 Should have won by 9.25 532 42.60 0 0.00 30.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
North Alabama YES YES —— YES YES —— —— 10-18, 56% 7-57
Southern Utah —— —— YES —— —— YES YES 7-15, 47% 8-53
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
UNI Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 3 3.06 49 -1.00 3.27 82
Montana Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -3 -3.06 49 1.00 4.97 70
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
UNI 42.45 Should have lost by 3.06 268 19.69 1 1.00 22.00 BAD
Montana 42.45 Should have won by 3.06 348 22.75 0 -0.08 19.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
UNI —— —— YES —— —— YES YES 6-18, 33% 8-69
Montana YES YES —— YES YES —— —— 7-17, 41% 9-87
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Miami Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 16 -8.58 50 -3.00 4.96 69
Louisiana State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -16 8.58 50 3.00 4.85 61
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Miami 44.08 Should have won by 8.58 342 26.33 2 2.00 18.00 PLAY
Louisiana State 44.08 Should have lost by 8.58 296 17.75 0 -0.25 17.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Miami —— YES YES YES —— YES —— 6-for-16 11-85
Louisiana State YES —— —— —— YES —— YES 3-for-16 6-62
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
North Carolina A&T Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -5 20.08 51 13.00 4.48 60
East Carolina Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 5 -20.08 51 -13.00 4.02 95
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
North Carolina A&T 45.96 Should have lost by 20.08 269 12.94 0 -1.08 15.00 FADE
East Carolina 45.96 Should have won by 20.08 382 33.02 3 3.00 28.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
North Carolina A&T YES —— —— YES YES —— YES 4-for-13 14-113
East Carolina —— YES YES —— —— YES —— 8-for-21 5-45
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Virginia Tech Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -21 14.11 27 7.50 5.06 63
Florida State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 21 -14.11 27 -7.50 5.19 63
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Virginia Tech 44.70 Should have lost by 14.11 319 15.29 0 -0.63 15.00 FADE
Florida State 44.70 Should have won by 14.11 327 29.41 5 5.00 12.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Virginia Tech YES —— —— —— YES YES YES 3-for-14 5-55
Florida State —— YES —— YES —— —— —— 5-for-16 7-36
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Prairie View A&M Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -16 -8.87 64 10.00 7.73 81
North Carolina Central Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 16 8.87 64 -10.00 4.98 81
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Prairie View A&M 70.24 Should have won by 8.87 626 39.55 1 0.17 32.00 GOOD
North Carolina Central 70.24 Should have lost by 8.87 403 30.69 1 1.00 20.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Prairie View A&M YES YES —— YES YES YES YES 3-14, 21% 9-101
North Carolina Central —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-18, 17% 10-103
Updated: September 5, 2018 — 1:40 pm
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