Chart to help with fantasy/props. Ranks opponent’s fantasy numbers vs each offensive position. Higher number means the team has a better matchup vs defense they are playing. Took top 8 or so to give a quick look at which position’s may have an advantage/disadvantage. No autoplays based on anything listed but it helps me look […]

Updated win/loss projections for NCAA FBS teams through 9/14/24 games. The numbers below take each team’s current record and then takes their chances of winning each of their remaining games to arrive at the current projections.  

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]

The chart above shows which teams will have the best win percentage each week based on my current market ratings. It should help users plan how they may use teams in a one and done type of knockout pool. Key: (Numbers in green have the best chance to win each week. If you check out […]

The chart above takes a look at how teams finished their 2023 season, their 2024 strength of schedule, turnover margin per game for last season, current FanDuel win totals and counts the amount of games each team has a projected win expectancy of >55%, toss-up games between 45%-55%, and how many games their projected win […]

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]

NCAA Football (FBS) win total projections after 10/4/23 games.

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]

NCAA Football (FBS) win total projections after week 3.  

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]

NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]

NCAA Football (FBS) win total projections. Added a floor and ceiling as well based on their opponents. Team Floor Projected W Total Ceiling Games Air Force 5.82 8.03 10.25 12 Akron 1.61 3.83 6.04 12 Alabama 8.72 10.07 11.41 12 Appalachian St. 5.06 7.12 9.19 12 Arizona 1.02 4.47 7.93 12 Arizona State 1.74 4.64 […]

Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy. Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. SMU 42.20% 7.46% 54.12% UCF 57.80% 92.54% 45.88% SJSU 66.50% 98.48% 85.72% UNLV 33.50% 1.52% 14.28% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. NEB 57.80% 52.61% 40.66% RUTG 42.20% 47.39% 59.34% Pre […]

NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]

Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy. Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. WASH 57.80% 29.993% 49.1028% UCLA 42.20% 70.007% 50.8972% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. USU 4.41% 21.567% 28.2602% BYU 95.59% 78.433% 71.7398% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. […]

NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]

NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]

NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]

  NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual […]

NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]

NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]

NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]

I’ve put together a program taking a look at each NCAA Football box score to see if a team’s, actual stats, met their pre-game (line) expectation and the final score (margin). So if a team meets or exceeds pre-game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or […]