Below are each team’s chances of advancing to each round and their odds of winning the tournament. (Photo from fayobserver.com)
Odds to win Men’s NCAA Basketball tournament
3/12/25 NCAA post game win expectancy #’s
Here are post game win percentages and scores for Men’s NCAA Basketball conference tournament games based on pre-game market expectations versus what actually happened in the game. Post game numbers are based everything in the box score. Taking into account pre-game stat expectations for each team and comparing them to actual results using a regression […]
2/27/25 Women’s NCAA Hoop Projections
Game projections for 2/27/25. Numbers are based on season long play from each team and don’t adjust for any daily injuries. Any adjustments must be made manually.
2/20/25 Women’s NCAA Hoop Projections
Game projections for 2/20/25. Numbers are based on season long play from each team and don’t adjust for any daily injuries. Any adjustments must be made manually.
2/13/25 Women’s NCAA Hoop Projections
Game projections for today’s NCAA Women’s Basketball games.
NFL Week 11 Fantasy/Props Matchup Chart
Chart to help with fantasy/props. Ranks opponent’s fantasy numbers vs each offensive position. Higher number means the team has a better matchup vs defense they are playing. Took top 8 or so to give a quick look at which position’s may have an advantage/disadvantage. No autoplays based on anything listed but it helps me look […]
2024 NCAA Football UPDATED W/L Projections
Updated win/loss projections for NCAA FBS teams through 9/14/24 games. The numbers below take each team’s current record and then takes their chances of winning each of their remaining games to arrive at the current projections.
2024 NCAA Football Box Score Analysis
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
2024 NFL Survivor Pool Chart
The chart above shows which teams will have the best win percentage each week based on my current market ratings. It should help users plan how they may use teams in a one and done type of knockout pool. Key: (Numbers in green have the best chance to win each week. If you check out […]
2024 NFL Schedule in regards to win totals
The chart above takes a look at how teams finished their 2023 season, their 2024 strength of schedule, turnover margin per game for last season, current FanDuel win totals and counts the amount of games each team has a projected win expectancy of >55%, toss-up games between 45%-55%, and how many games their projected win […]
2024 NCAA Football Week 0 Box Score Analysis
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
NBA Playoffs post game win expectancy model
Here are post game win percentages and scores for this year’s NBA first round playoffs based on pre-game market expectations versus what actually happened in the game. Post game numbers are based everything in the box score analyzing each team’s possession quality. Taking into account pre-game stat expectations for each team and comparing them to […]
NCAA Football W/L projections after 10/4 games.
NCAA Football (FBS) win total projections after 10/4/23 games.
NCAA Football Week 4 box score analysis
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
NCAA Football box score analysis after week 3
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
NCAA FBS win projections after Week 3
NCAA Football (FBS) win total projections after week 3.
2023 CFB Week 2 Box Score Analysis
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
2023 Week 1 CFB Box Score Analysis
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
2023 Week 0 CFB Box Score Analysis
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
2023 NCAA Football (FBS) Win Total Projections
NCAA Football (FBS) win total projections. Added a floor and ceiling as well based on their opponents. Team Floor Projected W Total Ceiling Games Air Force 5.82 8.03 10.25 12 Akron 1.61 3.83 6.04 12 Alabama 8.72 10.07 11.41 12 Appalachian St. 5.06 7.12 9.19 12 Arizona 1.02 4.47 7.93 12 Arizona State 1.74 4.64 […]
MLB Starting Pitcher Projections 7/30/23
Stat projections for starting pitchers for Sunday July 30, 2023. Pitcher OUTS HITS Runs BB K A CIVALE 2023 Season 17.82 4.44 2.40 1.16 4.79 A SMITH-SHAWVER 2023 Season 14.88 4.22 2.62 1.78 4.17 B BERNARDINO 2023 Season 5.34 1.00 0.60 0.17 2.44 B BIELAK 2023 Season 15.40 4.69 2.34 2.36 4.13 B SNELL 2023 Season 17.07 3.27 1.90 3.49 6.70 C BRADFORD 2023 Season 14.46 4.73 […]
NCAA Basketball post game win expectancy
Here are post game win percentages and scores for Men’s NCAA Basketball conference tournament games based on pre-game market expectations versus what actually happened in the game. Post game numbers are based everything in the box score. Taking into account pre-game stat expectations for each team and comparing them to actual results using a regression […]
CFB Week 6 post game win expectancy
Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy. Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. SMU 42.20% 7.46% 54.12% UCF 57.80% 92.54% 45.88% SJSU 66.50% 98.48% 85.72% UNLV 33.50% 1.52% 14.28% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. NEB 57.80% 52.61% 40.66% RUTG 42.20% 47.39% 59.34% Pre […]
2022 CFB Box Score Analysis Week 6
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NCAA Football Week 5 post game win expectancy
Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy. Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. WASH 57.80% 29.993% 49.1028% UCLA 42.20% 70.007% 50.8972% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. USU 4.41% 21.567% 28.2602% BYU 95.59% 78.433% 71.7398% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. […]
2022 CFB Box Score Analysis Week 5
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
2022 CFB Week 1 Box Score Analysis
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NCAA Football 2022 Box Score Analysis
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NBA post game win expectancy UPDATE
In an earlier post I outlined how I’m analyzing basketball games using a post game win expectancy model and comparing it to the actual results. The results have been an excellent predictor of the next game of the series after comparing what actually happened in the game versus what their stats/possessions tell us. (Predicting which […]
NBA 1st Round post game win expectancy model
Here are post game win percentages and scores for this year’s NBA first round playoffs based on pre-game market expectations versus what actually happened in the game. Post game numbers are based everything in the box score. Taking into account pre-game stat expectations for each team and comparing them to actual results using a […]
NCAA Football box score analysis week 6
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual […]
10/2 -10/3 NCAA Football Box Score analysis
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NCAA Football box score analysis/misleading finals
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NCAA Football Misleading Finals Week 1
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
2020 XFL Projections
11/24/19 NCAA Basketball Projections
Indiana St. 70.05 Air Force 68.37 138.42 1.67 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Presbyterian 59.34 Albany 67.65 126.99 -8.3 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Long Beach St. 58.19 Arizona 83.3 141.49 -25.11 11/24/2019 (Home) Virginia 66.82 Arizona St. 56.92 123.75 9.9 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Villanova 72.6 Baylor 69.41 142.01 3.18 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Cincinnati 76.04 Bowling Green 67.67 143.71 8.37 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Missouri […]
2019 Week 2 NCAAF mis-leading scores.
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats.The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction)2. Actual margin of victory […]
2019 Week 1 NCAA misleading finals
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats.The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction)2. Actual margin of victory […]
2019 FIBA World Cup Projections
Game projections for 2019 FIBA World Cup in China. 9/3/19 9/2/19 9/1/19
Friday April 12, 2019 MLB projections
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Thursday April 11, 2019 MLB projections
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Wednesday April 20, 2019 MLB projections
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Tuesday April 9, 2018 MLB projections
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Monday April 8, 2019 MLB projections
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Sunday April 7, 2019 MLB projections
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
NCAA Baseball projections April 6, 2019
Score projections for NCAA Division 1 Baseball games on 4/6/19. Listed below you’ll find a projected winning team, losing team, odds for each team winning the game, and each team’s projected total runs. Game scores don’t include today’s starting pitcher, they are based on overall team strength, so adjust accordingly.
Saturday April 6, 2019 MLB Projections
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Friday April 5, 2019 MLB Projections
Game Projections for Major League Baseball games. Get each team’s projected score, the game total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Thursday April 4, 2019 MLB Projections
Game Projections for Major League Baseball games. Get each team’s projected score, the game total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Wednesday April 3, 2019 MLB Projections
Game Projections for Major League Baseball games. Get each team’s projected score, the game total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.