Chart to help with fantasy/props. Ranks opponent’s fantasy numbers vs each offensive position. Higher number means the team has a better matchup vs defense they are playing. Took top 8 or so to give a quick look at which position’s may have an advantage/disadvantage. No autoplays based on anything listed but it helps me look […]
Updated win/loss projections for NCAA FBS teams through 9/14/24 games. The numbers below take each team’s current record and then takes their chances of winning each of their remaining games to arrive at the current projections.
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
The chart above shows which teams will have the best win percentage each week based on my current market ratings. It should help users plan how they may use teams in a one and done type of knockout pool. Key: (Numbers in green have the best chance to win each week. If you check out […]
The chart above takes a look at how teams finished their 2023 season, their 2024 strength of schedule, turnover margin per game for last season, current FanDuel win totals and counts the amount of games each team has a projected win expectancy of >55%, toss-up games between 45%-55%, and how many games their projected win […]
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
Here are post game win percentages and scores for this year’s NBA first round playoffs based on pre-game market expectations versus what actually happened in the game. Post game numbers are based everything in the box score analyzing each team’s possession quality. Taking into account pre-game stat expectations for each team and comparing them to […]
NCAA Football (FBS) win total projections after 10/4/23 games.
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
NCAA Football (FBS) win total projections after week 3.
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NCAA Football (FBS) win total projections. Added a floor and ceiling as well based on their opponents. Team Floor Projected W Total Ceiling Games Air Force 5.82 8.03 10.25 12 Akron 1.61 3.83 6.04 12 Alabama 8.72 10.07 11.41 12 Appalachian St. 5.06 7.12 9.19 12 Arizona 1.02 4.47 7.93 12 Arizona State 1.74 4.64 […]
Stat projections for starting pitchers for Sunday July 30, 2023. Pitcher OUTS HITS Runs BB K A CIVALE 2023 Season 17.82 4.44 2.40 1.16 4.79 A SMITH-SHAWVER 2023 Season 14.88 4.22 2.62 1.78 4.17 B BERNARDINO 2023 Season 5.34 1.00 0.60 0.17 2.44 B BIELAK 2023 Season 15.40 4.69 2.34 2.36 4.13 B SNELL 2023 Season 17.07 3.27 1.90 3.49 6.70 C BRADFORD 2023 Season 14.46 4.73 […]
Here are post game win percentages and scores for Men’s NCAA Basketball conference tournament games based on pre-game market expectations versus what actually happened in the game. Post game numbers are based everything in the box score. Taking into account pre-game stat expectations for each team and comparing them to actual results using a regression […]
Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy. Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. SMU 42.20% 7.46% 54.12% UCF 57.80% 92.54% 45.88% SJSU 66.50% 98.48% 85.72% UNLV 33.50% 1.52% 14.28% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. NEB 57.80% 52.61% 40.66% RUTG 42.20% 47.39% 59.34% Pre […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy. Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. WASH 57.80% 29.993% 49.1028% UCLA 42.20% 70.007% 50.8972% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. USU 4.41% 21.567% 28.2602% BYU 95.59% 78.433% 71.7398% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
In an earlier post I outlined how I’m analyzing basketball games using a post game win expectancy model and comparing it to the actual results. The results have been an excellent predictor of the next game of the series after comparing what actually happened in the game versus what their stats/possessions tell us. (Predicting which […]
Here are post game win percentages and scores for this year’s NBA first round playoffs based on pre-game market expectations versus what actually happened in the game. Post game numbers are based everything in the box score. Taking into account pre-game stat expectations for each team and comparing them to actual results using a […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin […]
Indiana St. 70.05 Air Force 68.37 138.42 1.67 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Presbyterian 59.34 Albany 67.65 126.99 -8.3 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Long Beach St. 58.19 Arizona 83.3 141.49 -25.11 11/24/2019 (Home) Virginia 66.82 Arizona St. 56.92 123.75 9.9 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Villanova 72.6 Baylor 69.41 142.01 3.18 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Cincinnati 76.04 Bowling Green 67.67 143.71 8.37 11/24/2019 *NEUTRAL* Missouri […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats.The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction)2. Actual margin of victory […]
NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats.The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction)2. Actual margin of victory […]
Game projections for 2019 FIBA World Cup in China. 9/3/19 9/2/19 9/1/19
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Score projections for NCAA Division 1 Baseball games on 4/6/19. Listed below you’ll find a projected winning team, losing team, odds for each team winning the game, and each team’s projected total runs. Game scores don’t include today’s starting pitcher, they are based on overall team strength, so adjust accordingly.
Game projections for M.L.B games. Get each team’s projected score, the total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Game Projections for Major League Baseball games. Get each team’s projected score, the game total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Game Projections for Major League Baseball games. Get each team’s projected score, the game total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Game Projections for Major League Baseball games. Get each team’s projected score, the game total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning.
Game Projections for 4/2/19 Major League Baseball games. Get each team’s projected score, the game total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning. MLB Milwaukee Brewers Cincinnati Reds Away– Milwaukee Brewers Jhouyls Chacin — 3.68 Home– Cincinnati Reds Anthony […]
I’ve put together a program taking a look at each NCAA Football box score to see if a team’s, actual stats, met their pre-game (line) expectation and the final score (margin). So if a team meets or exceeds pre-game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or […]
Game Projections for 4/29/18 MLB games. Get each team’s projected score, the game total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning. MLB Detroit Tigers Baltimore Orioles Projected Line Projected Score Away– Detroit Tigers Daniel Norris 4.02 Home– Baltimore Orioles […]
Arena Football Week 3 2018. Below you’ll find each team’s projected score as well as their projected team stats for the game. Also listed is each QB’s potential Draftkings points based on the stats. (Draftkings will create AFL fantasy contests in 2019) Albany Empire 48.5 Baltimore Brigade 57.5 106 9 -9 4/28/2018 (Home) Washington Valor […]
Game Projections for 4/28/18 MLB games. Get each team’s projected score, the game total score, money line favorite, combined total runs, hits & errors and the chance of a team scoring a run in the 1st inning. MLB Detroit Tigers Baltimore Orioles Projected Line Projected Score Away– Detroit Tigers Francisco Liriano 4.51 Home– Baltimore Orioles […]
